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Boeing forecasts 35,000 new aircraft needed during next 20 years

written by australianaviation.com.au | June 12, 2013
Boeing says many sales over the next two decades will be from fleet re-equipment program. (Rob Finlayson)

Boeing projects demand for more than 35,000 new aircraft over the next 20 years, valued at US$4.8 trillion. In its annual Current Market Outlook (CMO) Boeing expects the world fleet to double over the next two decades. Both passenger traffic and cargo traffic are expected to grow five percent annually.

“This forecast gives us confidence as we increase our production rates and invest in new products like the 777X and 787-10X,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. “Airlines are demanding more efficiency and that is exactly what we’ll be giving them.”

The single-aisle market, served by Boeing’s Next-Generation 737 and the future 737 MAX, is the main driver of the forecast and continues to show strength. 24,670 new aircraft will be needed in this segment due to the growth of low-cost carriers and airlines from emerging markets.

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Widebodies, such as Boeing’s 747-8, 777 and 787 also make up a large part of the forecast. 8,590 new aircraft that will be needed in this segment, fuelled in part by airlines replacing their older fleet with new, more fuel-efficient aircraft.

 

New Aircraft Deliveries: 2013-2032

 

Aircraft type

PROMOTED CONTENT

Seats

Total deliveries

Dollar value

Regional jets

90 and below

2,020

$80B

Single-aisle

90 – 230

24,670

$2,290B

Small wide-body

200 – 300

4,530

$1,100B

Medium wide-body

300 – 400

3,300

$1,090B

Large wide-body

400 and above

760

$280B

 

The market for new aircraft will continue to become more geographically balanced over the next two decades. Asia-Pacific, including China, will lead the way in total aircraft deliveries.

 

New Aircraft Deliveries: 2013-2032

 

Region

Aircraft deliveries

Asia-Pacific

12,820

Europe

7,460

North America

7,250

Latin America

2,900

Middle East

2,610

C.I.S.

1,170

Africa

1,070

World Total

35,280

 

After facing high and volatile fuel prices and a highly competitive environment, airlines have been forced to change the way they manage their business.

“Our customers are focused on growing their networks, managing their capacity and investing in new fleets,” said Tinseth. “These trends will shape market demand for aircraft that have highly efficiency, low operating costs, environmentally progressive technologies and a great passenger experience. We believe Boeing’s current and future products are perfectly aligned to meet those needs.”

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