Boeing has reaffirmed its target of 810 to 815 commercial aircraft deliveries for calendar 2018.
The company says it is also continuing to work towards an entry-into-service (EIS) date of 2025 for its proposed new mid-market airplane (NMA).
The delivery guidance and outlook for the NMA was included in the company’s financial results for the three months to June 30 2018 handed down on Wednesday (US time).
Commercial aircraft deliveries up for 2018
Boeing said its commercial airplanes division, which generated the bulk of the company’s revenue, delivered 194 commercial aircraft in the second quarter of calendar 2018, up six per cent from 183 aircraft in the prior corresponding period.
At the recently concluded Farnborough Airshow, Boeing racked up some 673 orders and commitments for commercial aircraft, which included a number for “unidentified customers”.
“We continue to see the trend of diverse and balanced demand from a geographical perspective, as well as across the spectrum of airline business models,” Boeing chief executive Dennis Muilenburg told reporters during the company’s quarterly results conference call.
“The changing nature of travel, with the expansion of network city pairs and rising middle-class population in emerging markets, have fundamentally expanded traffic patterns and underpinned sustained growth.
“There also is more balanced demand between fleet growth and replacement of older aircraft, and we are seeing more consistent and stable customer purchasing patterns.
“We believe the evolution in key market dynamics, in the aggregate, is driving greater stability and far less cyclicality for our industry.”
Muilenburg reaffirmed previous guidance that the 737 production rate would increase from 52 aircraft a month currently to 57 a month by 2019, noting that the production skyline for the program was sold out early into the next decade.
“We continue to assess the upward pressure on this 737 production rate,” Muilenburg said.
Boeing’s recently published 2018-2037 Commercial Market Outlook has forecast 42,730 new aircraft deliveries over the next two decades.
Boeing working to “protect” NMA EIS in 2025
Muilenburg said Boeing was continuing its study on the proposed NMA, or 797 as some have described it, ahead of a possible launch in 2019.
“We haven’t made a launch decision, but we continue to look at the middle of the market airplane and as you heard at Farnborough continue to have very productive customer discussions on that topic,” Muilenburg said.
“We are protecting 2025 as the entry into service date that aligns with our customers’ needs and desires. So, we’re doing the appropriate long lead work to protect that delivery date and we’re looking at making a launch decision in 2019.”
The NMA is focused on a two-aircraft family that would carry between 225-275 passengers anywhere from 4,500-5,000nm. It would be powered by an engine capable of producing about 50,000lb of thrust.
That puts the NMA somewhere between Boeing’s largest narrowbody the 737 MAX 10, (3,215nm range with 230 passengers in a single-class layout), and its smallest widebody the 787-8 (7,355nm range with 242 passengers in a two-class configuration).
And Boeing’s initial estimates for the NMA suggest there might be a market for 4,000 to 5,000 aircraft. Some aviation analysts, who might define the market differently, have put forward a number closer to 2,500.
Muilenburg said the feedback from customers indicated they were looking for an aircraft with the comfort and benefits of a widebody while having narrowbody economics.
“That’s frankly the challenge of closing the business case, and it goes back to all the work we’re doing on transforming our enterprise to drive efficiency in development production and support,” Muilenburg said.
“If we build the confidence and the data we need to make a business case that closes, we’ll launch and if we don’t, we’ll continue down the path with our current product lines.”
Two 777-X test aircraft currently in production
Boeing said solid progress was being made on the in-development 777-X program.
During the quarter, the first two test aircraft were moved into the low-rate initial production line, while systems testing also got underway.
“We remain on track for first 777-X delivery in 2020,” Muilenburg said.
Further, Muilenburg said the company was continuing to make progress on automated technology systems for wing assembly and fuselage assembly.
“The key thing that you see in our focus here is that while those automation systems were designed purpose-built to be used for 777-X production, we’ve de-risked those systems by pulling them forward in the factory and applying them to the current 777 program where it makes sense.”
The company is targeting 3.5 777 deliveries a month in 2018 and 2019 as production transitioned to the 777-X program.
It is also continuing to work on filling the remaining 777 production slots post 2020 while production of the 777-9X and 777-8X is ramped up.
“We continue to believe the rate plan we’ve put in place establishes a floor for the program and supports our production bridge from the current 777 to the 777-X,” Muilenburg said.
The 777-X program comprised the 777-8X, and larger 777-9X and features new General Electric GE9X-105B1A engines capable of delivering 105,000lb of thrust, new composite wings with folding wingtips to maintain its Code E rating at airports, as well as in-cabin enhancements such as larger overhead stowage and a wider cross section.
The 777-9X is listed on the Boeing website as having a range of 7,600nm and a passenger capacity of 400-425 passengers.
Meanwhile, the 777-8X is still in development and yet to reach firm configuration. However, the Boeing website lists the aircraft as having a range of 8,700nm and a passenger capacity of 350-375 passengers. The aircraft is expected to enter service in 2022.
The 777-8X is the likely contender for Qantas’s demanding Project Sunrise challenge to Airbus and Boeing for an aircraft capable of flying nonstop from Australia’s east coast to London and New York with 300 seats and four classes in the cabin.
Airbus has proposed its A350 platform for Project Sunrise.
VIDEO – Boeing says 777-X development is on track. Here Boeing details the 777-X’s flightdeck design and philosophy.
KC-46 Tanker weighs on bottom line
The company reported net profit of US$2.2 billion for the three months to June 30 2018, up 26 per cent from US$1.7 billion in the prior corresponding quarter.
Total revenues rose 5.2 per cent to US$24.3 billion amid “higher commercial deliveries and mix, defence volume and services growth”, Boeing said in a statement.
“We continue to see healthy global demand in our commercial defense, space and services markets,” Muilenburg said.
“With a strong couple of quarters providing solid momentum for the year, our team remains focused on further driving both growth and productivity.”
The quarterly result was impacted by a US$307 million charge for Boeing’s KC-46 Tanker program, which is based on its 767 platform.
“This cost growth was primarily due to higher estimated costs of incorporating changes into six flight test and two early build aircraft as well as additional costs as we progress through late stage testing and the certification process,” Boeing said.
“We continue to make steady progress towards final certification for KC-46 Tanker and recently completed all flight tests required to deliver the first aircraft, which is expected to be in October this year as now agreed upon with the US Air Force.”
Despite being developed from a commercial airframe and Boeing’s extensive experience in building tankers for the USAF and other countries, the KC-46 program has been dogged with development delays which has seen it miss several key developmental and delivery milestones.
This has given rival Airbus a lead in the international market with its A330-200 Multi-Role Tanker Transport (MRTT).
Boeing’s Defence, Space and Security business unit posted a nine per cent increase in revenue during the quarter to US$5.6 billion.
However, earnings from operations fell 15 per cent to US$521 million due to increased costs associated with the KC-46 tanker program, Boeing said.
Global Services celebrates one-year anniversary
Established in 2017, Boeing Global Services is the company’s third business unit and brings together the aerospace giant’s previously separate aerospace and defence services in supply chain management, engineering, modifications and maintenance, digital analytics and training.
It recorded second quarter revenues of US$4.1 billion, up 15 per cent from the prior corresponding period.
Earnings from operations rose six per cent to US$603 million.
“We see the US$2.8 trillion services market over the next 10 years as a significant growth opportunity for our company,” Muilenburg said.
“We aim to grow faster than the average services market growth rate of 3.5 per cent as we further expand our broad portfolio of services offerings and continue to gain market share.”
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