An Ansett 737 is shadowed by a Qantas 747 at KSA. An intimately linked Air New Zealand/Ansett Australia would indeed be a real challenge for the Flying Kangaroo - but don't expect anything like this to happen till well after the float! (John Ruming)
Recce
A Good Idea But For All The Wrong Reasons
Laurie Brereton has done it again. For what must be the fifth or sixth time in as many months he has set yet another large group of people into a tailspin over a dramatic and totally unexpected change in government policy. The latest foray into the world of rubber politics (at press time at least) was the renouncing of part of the once much fabled One Nation statement of February 1992 regarding Air New Zealand’s access to Australia’s domestic route structure from November 1 this year. The 1992 statement allowed Australia’s and New Zealand’s airlines to benefit by a more open trans-Tasman air transport market so as to free up trade and tourism under the guise of CER. Unfortunately somewhere along the line fact got well and truly left behind theory. As outlined in our October Reece, the only carrier to even acknowledge some benefit of the One Nation statement is Air New Zealand. Qantas sadly doesn’t seem to be capable anymore of doing anything original and appears more and more to believe the entire world revolves around just three cities – LA, London and Tokyo. Ansett for its part has also ignored the vast opportunities available to it if it would only bite the bullet and begin operating trans-Tasman with 150 seat class aircraft linking the numerous ports that could well be the traffic generators of tomorrow.
Least appear to make the situation more of a topic of discussion. Similarly, the Kiwi carrier threw away a golden opportunity to put its money where its mouth was that very same month as Compass II floundered. As stated ad nauseam in AA previously, ANZ could have picked up a major interest in what was otherwise an excellent airline for probably around $40m and today could have been sitting pretty with strong growth and a dozen strong fleet of jets serving the major money making routes of Australia. Whilst to us it still seems short sighted that they didn’t pursue either of these options at that time (when they were handed to them on a plate at fire sale prices) the latest intent of our Government is to literally force Air New Zealand to buy into Ansett whether they want to or not. Keating and Brereton may be able to play games with ANL and Qantas but they haven’t seemed to have figured out that they don’t own either Ansett or ANZ and neither airline is impressed with their treatment as mere pawns in this arrogant political sham. Air New Zealand is a highly profitable airline, as is the modern post-recession Ansett. Also profitable, indeed very profitable nowadays is News Ltd which has really been hoping to cash in its 50% share of Ansett for some years now though this has in recent times been taken off the front burner as the airline has returned to the black side of the ledger.
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Mind you, a major brake to all this is the almost nil progress to date on streamlining the presently restrictive Customs, Immigration and Quarantine (CIQ) requirements that still demand that travellers between the two nations fly as international passengers. To most people this spells time wasted, extra cost and inconvenience. Until the CIQ problem is resolved the Tasman will remain the great divide of regional air transport. Australia’s abrogation of the previous agreed One Nation policy is pathetic. What more can you say. As an Australian I would like to apologise to our New Zealand readers for the way in which our Government has treated them in this farce. And I say farce not lightly because the decision has been made solely to help prop up the sale price of Qantas next year when it finally goes to market.
Okay, sure, Air New Zealand wasn’t really about to begin domestic operations come November 1 but at least they deserved the right to believe they could when the word of a trusted allied government had given them no previous reason to believe otherwise. What good is Australia’s word on anything when it can be overturned at the whim of a single Minister? This is something that every Australian should feel ashamed and enraged about and every New Zealander indignant of. What the Keating government and Laurie Brereton are seeking to do is to actually force Air New Zealand to do something that it probably should have done (if it sincerely was interested in entering the Australian domestic market) two years ago, and that is to simply buy into or form a water tight marketing allegiance with Ansett. Almost two years ago in our March ’93 Reece we argued the sensibilities of this and whilst it did not come to pass it did at least appear to make the situation more of a topic of discussion.
An Ansett 737 is shadowed by a Qantas 747 at KSA. An intimately linked Air New Zealand/Ansett Australia would indeed be a real challenge for the Flying Kangaroo – but don’t expect anything like this to happen till well after the float! (John Ruming) Deals of this magnitude are mostly worked out at the highest levels and often for what historically are reasons that sometimes include arrangements of a particularly different nature to the physical transaction involved. To this end if, for instance, ANZ did pick up News Ltd’s Ansett share then there might well be sweeteners involved that go far beyond the buying and selling of a mere airline shareholding. Watch this space.
If ANZ did own half of Ansett then the synergies are almost unlimited, particularly if the thorny CIQ issues can be resolved in the coming year or so to everybodys benefit. One would imagine that Qantas would quickly drop its 19.9% shareholding in ANZ (ironically only acquired in the first place to keep British Airways at bay) and this would probably be acquired by ANZ majority shareholder, Ron Brierley. One would also imagine the perennially loss making Ansett New Zealand would be merged into ANZ’s domestic operations as part of an agreement not to have blue and green 737s cruising Australia’s most lucrative inter capital routes.
Certainly if anything has been proven this past half decade it is simply that anything is possible and more than likely probable in this weird and wonderful world we call aviation. We don’t honestly know what will eventuate in this situation except to say that once more, from the aviation industry’s point of view, Minister Brereton has left us all gasping at the breadth of change he is capable of making at a moments notice without, it seems, scant regard for whether that decision is right or wrong, appropriate or inappropriate. If he keeps this up he may well be eligible for a try at running for leader of the Opposition!
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